Do FTAs Mean Free Trade Agreements or Fear and Trepidation in ASEAN?

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Edmund Sim
10 Jan 2010
Sim

The start of 2010 was celebrated by some, but many Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) industrial interests viewed the new year with great apprehension. For them, January 1 marked the full implementation of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) agreement and ASEAN China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA). The resulting greater market access for goods traded within ASEAN and between ASEAN and China has generated an outcry throughout the regional grouping among those who fear increased competition. How ASEAN copes with this growing mini-crisis of confidence will affect both regional development within ASEAN and the evolution of ASEAN institutions.

Under AFTA and ACFTA, import duties on most goods have now been set to zero percent in the founding ASEAN members of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (similar reductions will take effect in 2015 for the other ASEAN members). The lists of items subject to trade liberalization, the revised rates and the implementation dates were agreed upon within ASEAN and between ASEAN and China years ago.

The industrial sectors in Indonesia and the Philippines, and to a lesser extent, Malaysia, vehemently object to greater market access and greater competition - not when the agreements were being negotiated but during the waning days of 2009. The Indonesian government reacted to industry pressure by proposing last week to renegotiate the ACFTA and may seek delays in implementing AFTA provisions. Other ASEAN members may be tempted to use this opportunity to follow suit.

That Indonesia and the Philippines, with active business lobbies and media, reacted so strongly was somewhat predictable. Nevertheless, that business interests in those countries and elsewhere in ASEAN waited until the last minute, months and years after the negotiation, ratification and implementation of the FTAs, reflects fundamental deficiencies within the region’s operating system. Clearly ASEAN governments and institutions such as the ASEAN Secretariat did not adequately prepare the business sector for trade liberalization. The corporate sector should have been more involved in the process from the earliest stages.

Not that the ASEAN business sector is without blame. Some companies in ASEAN benefitted from protection at the national level through tariff and non-tariff barriers yet took no action when threatened with their impending phase-out. Despite having advance warning, both the private and public sectors in many ASEAN countries failed to prepare themselves for the impending trade liberalization.

This unease with the FTAs could even threaten ASEAN institutions. The ASEAN Economic Community, which the FTAs and other agreements on trade and investment underpin, is supposed to be the most developed of the three pillars of ASEAN – with the political-security and socio-cultural communities being the others. A breakdown over the FTAs would thus undermine the credibility of the ASEAN integration process.

Fortunately, the ASEAN Charter appears to be influencing the controversy in a positive manner. The ASEAN Charter provides the foundation for a rules-based operating system for the regional grouping. Thus, despite domestic calls for individual ASEAN members to abrogate their FTA commitments unilaterally, none have done so. Although Indonesia has called for a renegotiation of the ACFTA, it has respected the structures and practices of ASEAN by making its request through the ASEAN Economic Community Council, a new body established by the ASEAN Charter. Thus it will be up to ASEAN as whole to determine how to address Indonesia’s concerns, and how to deal with China should the grouping decide to act accordingly.

It must be remembered that the FTAs will benefit many ASEAN industries with increased market access in China, as well as in India, Australia, Korea and Japan -  which have also signed FTAs with ASEAN. The FTAs also mean increased investment in ASEAN by these trading partners. The ASEAN Secretariat and national governments need to explain these benefits both to the business elite and to the masses.

The aforementioned FTAs provide ASEAN members with remedies to protect their industries from unfair and/or increased competition in the form of antidumping and safeguard laws. These laws take time to invoke and administer, but trade and investment policies based on the rule of law will benefit all sectors of ASEAN society in the long run.

The current acrimony over the FTAs represents a failure of government-business outreach that needs to be avoided in the future if ASEAN economic integration is to succeed.  If ASEAN institutions and member states can also continue to adhere to the rules-based approach set forth by the ASEAN Charter, then indeed the ASEAN Economic Community will succeed as well.


Edmund Sim is a Singapore-based lawyer with Appleton Luff, a trade law firm with offices in Brussels, Geneva, Singapore , Warsaw and Washington DC. 

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